Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.029047 0.031218 0.033398 0.035748 0.038207 0.040701 0.043419
2025-12-21 0.024281 0.027614 0.031084 0.034953 0.039133 0.043503 0.048401
2025-12-28 0.022309 0.026389 0.030743 0.035708 0.041186 0.047020 0.053679
2026-01-04 0.020408 0.024992 0.029989 0.035798 0.042320 0.049376 0.057543
2026-01-11 0.018740 0.023691 0.029196 0.035706 0.043127 0.051264 0.060799
2026-01-18 0.017830 0.023167 0.029201 0.036439 0.044797 0.054062 0.065024
2026-01-25 0.016561 0.022132 0.028539 0.036334 0.045448 0.055661 0.067860
2026-02-01 0.015468 0.021235 0.027973 0.036283 0.046113 0.057234 0.070634
2026-02-08 0.014447 0.020364 0.027386 0.036157 0.046647 0.058625 0.073172
2026-02-15 0.013512 0.019545 0.026815 0.036009 0.047119 0.059916 0.075573
2026-02-22 0.012707 0.018845 0.026352 0.035956 0.047676 0.061283 0.078047
2026-03-01 0.011842 0.018026 0.025702 0.035640 0.047886 0.062220 0.079999
2026-03-08 0.010816 0.016989 0.024791 0.035036 0.047804 0.062888 0.081745
2026-03-15 0.009786 0.015905 0.023789 0.034296 0.047550 0.063356 0.083276
2026-03-22 0.009458 0.015751 0.023971 0.035039 0.049116 0.066016 0.087428
2026-03-29 0.008898 0.015241 0.023659 0.035129 0.049851 0.067654 0.090348
2026-04-05 0.008312 0.014663 0.023228 0.035037 0.050339 0.068979 0.092882
2026-04-12 0.008068 0.014560 0.023426 0.035762 0.051858 0.071574 0.096968
2026-04-19 0.007548 0.014025 0.023011 0.035658 0.052304 0.072831 0.099415
2026-04-26 0.007083 0.013546 0.022651 0.035608 0.052805 0.074148 0.101932
2026-05-03 0.006626 0.013052 0.022249 0.035483 0.053196 0.075317 0.104261
2026-05-10 0.006192 0.012570 0.021845 0.035337 0.053544 0.076424 0.106510
2026-05-17 0.005815 0.012157 0.021520 0.035285 0.054005 0.077666 0.108924